Page 5 - FWP Wealth-Adviser-Issue-121 (FWP)
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ISSUE 121
                                                                                                        SEPTEMBER 2025

                                  AS OF JUNE 2025, ASFA ESTIMATES FOR RETIREES AGED 65-84 ARE:
                           Comfortable lifestyle (homeowners)   Modest lifestyle (homeowners)  Modest lifestyle (renters)
         Single (lump sum)  $595,000                            $100,000                       $385,000
         Couple (lump sum)  $690,000                            $100,000                       $340,000
         Single (per year)  $53,289                             $34,522                        $49,044
         Couple (per year)  $75,319                             $49,992                        $66,296

           A “comfortable” lifestyle, according to ASFA and AMP,   Uncertainties also affect expenditure. As the Grattan
        typically allows for a good standard of living, social activ-  Institute and AMP note, spending typically declines
        ities, health cover, and leisure, including the occasional   throughout retirement, though health and aged care costs
        international trip. Modest budgets cover basic living needs   can rise with age. Discounted amenities and pensioner
        and a few extras, sitting above the Age Pension alone. For   benefits introduce more nuance.
        renters, “modest” is the primary reference, as the challenge
        of covering market rents results in significantly higher   The Real Drivers: Savings Rate, Asset Allocation,
        required savings.                                       and Behaviour
           Super Consumers Australia provides alternative lump    More important than any benchmark is the power of
        sum targets, grounded in the actual spending data of current   individual behaviour and strategy. Morningstar’s projec-
        retirees. Their rule-of-thumb targets also distinguish   tions show that compulsory super guarantee contributions
        between singles and couples, and between low, medium,   invested in a balanced fund may only replace 50-63% of
        and high spending groups. The Age Pension remains pivotal   pre-retirement income—below many benchmarks. AMP’s
        in almost every scenario, especially for low to medium   calculators and case studies provide similar stories: the
        spenders.                                               hypothetical “Mac”, aiming for a comfortable retirement,
           A common “rule of thumb” persists: most retirees should   finds his projected savings fall short of anticipated needs by
        aim to replace about 70% of their pre-retirement income.   up to ten years—a wakeup call that many share.
        Yet, as seen in these models, the actual lump sum needed is   Asset allocation is a critical factor—those who leave a
        shaped by lifestyle goals, housing status, and access to the   higher proportion in growth-oriented investments over
        pension. A single “magic number” does not fit all.      time gain considerable compounding benefits. Even a small
                                                                increase in annual return (as demonstrated by shifting from
        What the Numbers Miss: Risks, Assumptions,              balanced to high-growth options) can translate into tens of
        and Human Factors                                       thousands of dollars more in retirement. Likewise, con-
           While helpful, these benchmarks are built on layers of   trolling fees, minimising unnecessary trading, and appropri-
        assumption. The classic retirement model presumes steady   ately managing tax have a strong cumulative effect.
        career-long employment, uninterrupted super contribu-     AMP’s Lifetime solutions—such as the Super Lifetime
        tions, and investment returns that mirror long-term aver-  Boost—illustrate a practical response to the interplay
        ages. The AMP article highlights how the age at which you   of investment returns and social security eligibility. By
        retire, your health, partner’s plans, and debts all influence   structuring part of the pension within a Lifetime Pension
        both your balance and your drawdown period. Longevity   product, clients can benefit from more favourable asset test
        risk is real: retiring at 65 means planning for a retirement   treatment for Age Pension purposes, effectively boosting
        that may last 20-25 years.                              retirement income for longer.
           In practice, individuals face career breaks, part-time   Lack of confidence, inertia, and poor financial literacy
        years, market downturns, and periods out of the workforce   are ongoing challenges, as shown by AMP’s research into
        for family duties. As both Morningstar and Super Consumers   Australians’ retirement readiness. Tools like calculators and
        Australia caution, “no one number fits every situation—as-  simulators can help, but education and proactive advice are
        sumptions matter.” Policy improvements (like increasing the   just as essential for making sound choices over time.
        super guarantee to 12%) have helped mitigate risk, but they
        cannot eliminate it for everyone.                       Beyond the Maths: Flexibility, Resilience, and
           For those renting in retirement, research from ASFA,   Living Well
        AMP, and others shows a substantially higher risk of finan-  Planning for retirement is not just about arithmetic or
        cial insecurity. Housing costs remain a key determinant of   chasing a “right number”; it is about building in resilience,
        wellbeing, with renters facing bigger savings requirements   flexibility, and life satisfaction. Saving and investing not
        and greater risk of poverty.                            only protect against the known risks but offer a payoff if

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