Page 8 - FWP Wealth Adviser newsletter - June 2025: Issue112
P. 8

ISSUE 112
                                                                                                             MAY 2025



















           BUFFETT’S



           FAREWELL AND



           THE FUTURE OF US



           EXCEPTIONALISM




           LESSONS FOR INVESTORS



           IN A CHANGING WORLD








        BY WEALTH ADVISER                                       challenges decades of growth optimism.” (Firstlinks, Does
                                                                Buffett’s Farewell Represent Peak America?) In an environ-
        Introduction: Buffett’s Legacy and                      ment marked by geopolitical uncertainty, technological
        the Crossroads of US Exceptionalism                     disruption, and shifting global capital flows, understanding
           Warren Buffett, often dubbed the “Oracle of Omaha,” has   the future of US exceptionalism-and how to adapt invest-
        long stood as a symbol of American capitalism’s resilience,   ment strategies accordingly-has never been more critical.
        rationality, and optimism. For decades, his steady hand at   In this article, we explore the structural drivers and risks
        the helm of Berkshire Hathaway has reassured investors   shaping US markets, map the opportunities and challenges
        that, despite market turbulence or economic shocks, the   for future returns, and distil practical lessons for investors
        underlying dynamism of the United States would ultimately   seeking resilience in an era of uncertainty.
        prevail. Yet, as Buffett’s retirement becomes a real possibil-
        ity, a deeper question emerges: does his farewell represent   The New Capital Cycle:
        not just the end of an era, but a turning point for US eco-  Drivers of US Exceptionalism
        nomic exceptionalism itself?                              To understand whether US exceptionalism is sustainable,
           This question is not merely philosophical. It has pro-  it is essential to examine the underlying forces that have set
        found implications for investors worldwide, especially as   American markets apart. Historically, the United States has
        the “peak America” narrative takes hold. As one recent anal-  benefited from a unique combination of technological inno-
        ysis put it, “Buffett’s departure may signal a broader shift   vation, entrepreneurial culture, capital market depth, and
        in market psychology, where the ‘peak America’ narrative   demographic vitality. But are these advantages still intact?

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